The Lagos State chapter of the All Progressives Congress (APC) has strongly endorsed a recent independent statistical analysis of the 2023 presidential election, arguing that it provides a factual explanation for Labour Party candidate Peter Obi’s dominant performance in the South-East contrasted with his poor showing elsewhere.
In a statement issued on Thursday by spokesman Seye Oladejo, the party described the report’s findings as “mathematics, statistics, and electoral geography speaking plainly,” rather than political conjecture.
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The analysis reportedly identified 4,351 anomalous polling units nationwide representing 3.5% of the 123,918 units examined with a disproportionate concentration in Labour Party strongholds.
Anambra State recorded a 24.9% anomaly rate, Enugu 16.7%, and Imo 10.9%. By comparison, Lagos registered only 2.3%, while Oyo had a negligible 0.3%.
Oladejo highlighted clusters of “perfect scores,” suspiciously round percentages, and improbable vote distributions, noting that 2,328 such instances were largely traced to LP areas.
He argued these irregularities, while not invalidating the election, explained Obi’s “implausibly dominant margins” in the East amid “outright rejection” in the North, South-West, South-South, and parts of the Middle Belt, where pluralistic politics made manipulation harder.
The APC acknowledged Obi’s genuine popularity in the South-East but contended that hegemonic support creates environments ripe for subtle fraud, with less scrutiny from opposition agents.
“Let the record be stated plainly: Peter Obi secured only 29.1% of the total votes cast nationwide. He placed third overall, behind both APC and PDP,” Oladejo said, emphasising that outside the South-East, Obi’s performance was “catastrophic” for a purported national contender.
The spokesman rejected claims of conspiracy against Obi, asserting his defeat stemmed from “electoral arithmetic, national spread requirements, competitive politics and his failure to translate regional enthusiasm into national acceptability.”
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The report, the APC argued, restores honesty to a debate marred by misinformation, without delegitimising Nigeria’s democracy.
The party called for further independent audits, enhanced technological safeguards, and prosecutions of offenders across all parties, insisting “democracy is best served not by mythology, but by truth.”
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